Pokemon Trove of Knowledge & Wealth

Pull Odds

Pull odds are the estimated or observed probabilities of pulling specific cards or rarities from sealed product. For example, a chase card might appear in roughly 1 in 300 packs, while a standard rare might appear in 1 in 3 packs.

Odds are derived from community box breaks, official disclosures (when available), and historical data. They help set expectations: opening a single booster box might yield a certain number of ultra rares on average, but variance means some boxes will hit big and others will not.

Using pull odds alongside market prices can inform whether it’s better to open packs for fun or to buy the singles you want directly.